๐Ÿšจ Orforglipron FDA Decision Imminent โ€” NDA submitted Dec 2025. Track status โ†’

Orforglipron vs. Retatrutide

Two investigational drugs from the same company โ€” one a convenient daily pill, one a powerful weekly injection. They're designed for different patients, not competition.

The Lilly Portfolio Strategy

Both orforglipron and retatrutide are Eli Lilly drugs, but they represent completely different bets. Orforglipron asks: how do we make GLP-1 therapy accessible to everyone? Retatrutide asks: how much weight loss can we achieve if we add every possible metabolic pathway? These aren't competing products โ€” they're designed to serve different patients with different needs and priorities.

CategoryOrforglipronRetatrutide
Drug TypeSmall-molecule oral GLP-1Peptide triple agonist (GLP-1 + GIP + Glucagon)
AdministrationOnce-daily oral pillOnce-weekly injection
Avg. Weight Loss~12.4% (72 wk, Phase 3)~24% (48 wk, Phase 2)
FDA StatusNDA submitted Dec 2025Phase 3 ongoing (TRIUMPH)
Expected Availability2026 (weeks away)2027 at earliest
Starting Price$149/monthUnknown (not approved)
Needle Requiredโœ— Noโœ“ Yes
Liver Disease (MASH)Indirect benefitDirect hepatic mechanism
Energy ExpenditureStandard GLP-1 effectIncreased (glucagon pathway)
Global Access PotentialVery high (oral, stable)Lower (injectable, cold chain)

Timing matters enormously: Orforglipron could be FDA approved within weeks. Retatrutide won't be approved until 2027 at the earliest. For patients who need treatment now, orforglipron is the only one of these two that can help in the near term.

The Weight Loss Gap Is Large โ€” But Context Matters

Retatrutide's ~24% Phase 2 weight loss vs orforglipron's ~12.4% is a massive difference on paper โ€” roughly double. But several nuances matter. Retatrutide's 24% was in Phase 2; Phase 3 results may differ. Retatrutide's curves had not plateaued at 48 weeks, suggesting it may achieve more over longer treatment. And ~12% weight loss from an easy daily pill is still an extraordinary clinical result that most patients would be very happy with.

The meaningful question is whether a patient needs 12% vs 24% weight loss to achieve their health goals. For most patients with moderate obesity, 12% is sufficient. For those with severe obesity approaching bariatric surgery criteria, retatrutide's additional potency may justify the wait and injection burden.

A Natural Lilly Treatment Pathway

One compelling scenario involves using both drugs sequentially โ€” starting on orforglipron (available now, affordable, convenient), achieving significant initial weight loss, then considering a transition to retatrutide when it's approved for patients who need additional results. Lilly has already validated a step-down concept (injections โ†’ orforglipron for maintenance); a step-up concept is equally logical for the highest-need patients.

Disclaimer: Cross-trial comparisons are inherently limited. Retatrutide Phase 3 data is not yet available. Educational purposes only. Not affiliated with Eli Lilly and Company.